Nate Silver on the Art and Science of Prediction

There were two big winners at the 2008 American election: Barack Obama, and Nate Silver. Silver correctly predicted forty-nine out of fifty states, and his website, fivethirtyeight, has since become required reading for political junkies of all stripes. In 2012, he cut through the “too close to call” nonsense spouted by CNN, FOX, and the other big 24-hour news outfits by predicting an Obama landslide; too bad he wasn’t calling the BC election.

So, how does Silver do what he does? We live in an age where 2.5 quintillion bytes of data is generated every day—how does Silver cut through it?

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